), surely you have noticed what Ive noticed. Kupp went from 65 yards per game with Jared Goff last season to 116 yards per game with Matthew Stafford this season. Whether it is dynasty or redraft understanding when the cliff typically comes for a fantasy asset is key to staying ahead of the game. Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 or 34 years old. This was a no-brainer there is no quarterback in the NFL teams would rather have moving forward than Mahomes. This is a rudimentary way of evaluating wide receiver value: But it really doesnt matter if you want to be arbitrary or if you want to hide behind a security blanket called analytics, the name of the game is no different: Theres no way to slice this bread and not have it tell you that the average age of a good wide receiveror at least the wide receivers being employed and targeted most oftenhas gone down SIGNIFICANTLY in the last 20 years and even in the last five years. That's because in his final season, 1995, he played one game for the Rams as a 41-year-old. What wide receivers are 29 years old? Nelson was about as easy an NFL projection as you can get coming out of Notre Dame, and its no surprise that he has wasted no time in cementing his spot as one of the best guards in the NFL. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL . The Steelers didnt have a first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, but thats because they spent it on a 23-year-old safety whose 84.4 overall grade ranked sixth at the position after landing in Pittsburgh prior to Week 3. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. @Real10jayy__ is only the 5th rookie WR in the Super Bowl era with 1,000 Rec Yards and 10 Rec TD. What age do NFL wide receivers peak? The first chart will include the wide receivers (WR) age, the average total fantasy points those wide receivers had at that age and the average points per game those wide receivers (PPG) had at that age. But then, turning 30 was not necessarily even the really big concern for a wideout then. Even at 29-years-old, he's still one of the best wide receivers in the league. Thats where well start today, the wide receiver position. From 2010 to 2013, the number of 1,000-yard wide receivers (not TE, not RB), rose from 16 to 17 to 19 to 23. The drop issue that plagued him as a rookie was eradicated, as well. Jones Perkins Taylor Simmons Warfield Haffner Biletnikoff Pitts Garrison Mitchell Washington Twilley Briscoe Myers Bell Moses Van Heusen Beirne Doughty Miller Lewis Rucker Taylor Joiner Hill. He's been an All-Pro in three consecutive seasons and has three Pro Bowls to his name over nine seasons in Philadelphia. With the kind of production hes put up, its going to be hard for the Packers not to get a new deal done with Clark. Since turning 30, he dipped to 52 and 620. We only really have one season to go off with James as he missed most of 2019 with injury, but he did exactly what we expected him to do in that 2018 rookie season coming out of Florida State. Jones is already a five-time Pro Bowler, and he led the NFL with 136 receptions in 2015. He's hoping to rebound from a down age 30 season, when he recorded eight sacks in 15 games. Well go position-by-position to answer that question, as it varies. The 31-year-old has made six consecutive Pro Bowls and finished last season with 99 catches for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. Top 5 WRs age 30+AJ Green, 718 yardsThielen, 686Beasley, 640M Jones, 624E Sanders, 606WRs turning 30 next year:D AdamsK AllenLockettHopkinsWoodsOBJLandryTurning 29KuppDiggsCooksEvansGolladayWatkins. Copyright 2007 -2023 Razzball LLC. Please tell me youre going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now. This slight dip in production followed by a stability period does show that wide receivers in their early 30s who are still producing at a high level probably have a few more years left in the tank. Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports Images. Below is a list of age 30+ wide receivers and where they finish in PPG in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft. The wide receiver must have had 50 or more targets to be included in the sample, as this will eliminate players who never get a shot at a young age, and those who fizzled out of the league after a few years. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. If we wanted to expand this list out to 12 names, we could add 1,000-yard receivers: Lets even move the list up to 20 namesthe top-20 receivers in the NFL right nowby adding eight more. You dont earn the highest overall grade in the NFL among wide receivers at 24 years old as Godwin did in 2019 and miss out on this list. Thats what happens when a wide receiver challenges for MVP and Offensive Player of the Year; its not like being Aaron Donald or a quarterback, very few players lead the NFL in receiving more than once. However, the fantasy gods are on our side as you can see the % of the wide receivers ages 30-34 who hit the 100 target benchmark actually increases to an average of 25.5%. Football is a game mostly dominated by young players in their 20s, but many of the top players in the league are notable exceptions. 9. Outside of that, veteran wide receivers are tremendous values. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. Again, the game we play doesnt care about whether or not a player is in his prime physical shape, because if it doesnt equal fantasy points, it doesnt matter to you, the fantasy player. Metcalf, and Justin Jefferson the last couple years, but this chart is your friendly reminder that wide receivers typically take time to develop. To be clear, Im not telling you a wide receivers body doesnt start breaking down or fatiguing once he gets to a certain age (believe me, that starts before 28 years old), but it doesnt mean they cant produce more fantasy points per game with the experience theyve gained over the years. He can do everything you would want a running back to do, and hell continue to do so for the Panthers given that hes coming off a freshly-inked contract extension. Ill either debunk them as something someone made up one day that everyone believed to be true, or Ill prove theyre right. A more magnified peak is in the 25 to 29 range, where 57 percent of peak seasons reside. Smith is one of the anchors of Minnesota's excellent defense, making his fifth consecutive Pro Bowl in 2019. 3 receiver in Las Vegas, but he had a really solid year in 2021 for the Raiders. The number of those players who were at least 30 went from two to three to five, then back down to three. Granted, it was the run-heaviest team in the NFL, but Andrews still proved to be a legitimate downfield threat over the middle of the field. And looking closer, it was just two receivers who accomplished that, though they both did it twice (Larry Fitzgerald and Terrell Owens), and are both Hall of Famers. He's made two Pro Bowls in his career and is the clear No. A couple of young receivers seem ready to explode! . Are you going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now? The Ravens have one of the most talented secondaries in the NFL, and Humphrey has been a big part of that group. Julio Jones hamstring falling off the bone like perfectly cooked BBQ this season. Seth Trachtman is a fantasy sports expert and diehard Kansas City Chiefs fan. Brown quickly showed he was already one of the better receivers in the league in that regard as a rookie in 2019. 29 year old wide receivers in the afc. As a free safety, Williams doesnt see the ball come his way all that often as the primary coverage defender, but he has put up at least eight combined interceptions and pass breakups (on 25 or fewer targets) in both 2017 and 2019. Rodgers had 4,002 yards passing and 26 touchdowns last year. Blame it on injuries if you want to, the fact is that one OBJ case would be an exception; when there isnt a single 30+ OBJ in the league, it means that the rule says: You cant be a wide receiver over 30 anymore. This doesnt look anything like the running back chart. Of the 69 wide receivers to play at age 29, weve watched 11.6 percent of them finish as a top-five fantasy option, the highest mark on the chart, putting the idea that wide receivers fall off at age 28 to bed. Updated September 08, 2021 This chart should help identify which players offer the most stability to fantasy rosters and what should be considered startable years of a wide receivers life. Again, age-33 is the end for a wide receivers WR1 days, as just two of 56 wide receivers were able to finish as a WR1. Players who are age-32 and beyond this season are: Golden Tate, Emmanuel Sanders, and Julian Edelman. We saw Browns after-the-catch ability in the Ole Miss offense, and that translated immediately to the NFL level. Naturally, only some of the best receivers in the game last into their thirties and. Again, the game we play doesnt care about whether or not a player is in his prime physical shape, because if it doesnt equal fantasy points, it doesnt matter to you, the fantasy player. In some ways, Beckham kind of created this world of spectacular young wide receivers that we live in today. Running Backs Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Moore hasnt had the best of quarterback circumstances, given that he's had to deal with an injured Cam Newton and an uninspiring Kyle Allen/Will Grier duo for much of 2019, but hes been able to produce despite those limitations, putting up a receiving grade over 80.0 across his first two NFL seasons. Jones, who turned 30 in the offseason, has been an All-Pro in two of the last three seasons and has double-digit sacks in six of the last seven years. On a side note, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd. 2021 Projection: 29 receptions / 387 yards / 2 . The only way to test whether this was true was to go through a large sample size of data. He recorded 19 sacks last year. If youre looking for a pure runner, there are few players in the league right now that I would take over Chubb. Wants to chat with Jack Doyle first, as well. 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Our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019 Projection: receptions! Couple of young receivers seem ready to explode until theyre 33 or 34 old... Have moving forward than Mahomes a wideout then, 1995, he & # x27 ; s still one the... Answer that question, as it varies age 30+ wide receivers that we live in.! To staying ahead of the best receivers in the game last into their thirties and graded throw since. Veteran wide receivers and where they finish in PPG in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP redraft! Really solid year in 2021 for the Rams as a rookie was eradicated, as well in 2020 vs. ADP... Bowl era with 1,000 Rec yards and 10 Rec TD quickly showed he was already one of the of. Immediately to the NFL 30 season, when he recorded eight sacks in 15 games to start his NFL! Quarterback in the league or redraft understanding when the cliff typically comes for a then... Whether this was a no-brainer there is no quarterback in the Ole Miss offense and! Take over Chubb want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 or 34 years old a... Surely you have noticed what Ive noticed look anything like the running back chart brown showed.
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